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Red140
1052635.0
694053.7
752250.4
Blue136
821452.6
461358.5
648735.0
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98150050200250140136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
0Teleop0
+2Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave9
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points32
40Total auto41
TeleoperatedRed +1
19Coral scored#19
68Coral points67
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
82Total teleop81
Reef
11L4#12
7L3#6
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
2Foul points0
140Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.74.7
36.441.1
Auto15.1
Teleop31.7
End7.0
blue by 4.7
58.50.2
54.554.7
Auto13.8
Teleop33.4
End11.3
Second
50.44.7
31.736.4
Auto11.0
Teleop37.7
End1.8
blue by 2.2
8214
#21
52.60.2
49.950.1
Auto15.1
Teleop34.3
End3.3
Third
35.04.7
27.632.3
Auto10.2
Teleop21.2
End3.5
blue by 0.1
35.00.3
28.729.1
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned