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Red42
801134.3
676633.4
630420.0
Blue113
963541.3
1043823.0
670636.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions929905015020042113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+83
Endgame+71
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +76
3Coral scored#18
10Coral points66
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
0Processor points12
0Net points8
0Algae points20
10Total teleop86
Reef
2L4#8
1L3#4
1L2#5
0L1 · trough#4
4Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
2Foul points2
42Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8011
#24
34.33.0
33.430.4
Auto6.6
Teleop20.5
End7.2
blue by 7.0
9635
#14
41.31.3
35.536.8
Auto12.1
Teleop28.0
End1.3
Second
6766
#22
33.43.0
34.831.8
Auto6.0
Teleop26.6
End0.7
blue by 3.1
6706
#10
36.42.2
34.236.4
Auto9.5
Teleop23.8
End3.1
Third
6304
#23
20.05.0
16.911.9
Auto5.8
Teleop10.8
End3.5
blue by 3.0
23.02.2
21.223.4
Auto5.5
Teleop16.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed