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Red69
551650.9
582323.7
881012.1
Blue69
773818.0
959733.6
1013118.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10268204060801201401606969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+2
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
7Coral scored#2
33Coral points10
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +19
5Coral scored#10
18Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
30Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
69Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5516
#16
50.9
Auto18.6
Teleop32.0
End0.3
red by 17.3
9597
#17
33.6
Auto6.8
Teleop26.1
End0.7
Second
23.7
Auto4.0
Teleop15.6
End4.2
red by 5.3
18.4
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End1.3
Third
8810
#34
12.1
Auto2.3
Teleop8.8
End1.0
blue by 5.9
7738
#25
18.0
Auto2.3
Teleop13.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed