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Red104
690729.1
694150.3
1021421.9
Blue48
75948.4
639420.6
861347.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions858840608010012014010448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+42Teleop
+44Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points4
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +32
13Coral scored#7
47Coral points25
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
65Total teleop33
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
12Foul points0
104Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.31.4
34.435.8
Auto12.0
Teleop32.8
End5.5
red by 3.1
8613
#11
47.22.3
46.644.3
Auto8.6
Teleop32.2
End6.5
Second
6907
#20
29.11.4
25.927.3
Auto5.9
Teleop21.9
End1.3
red by 8.5
6394
#38
20.63.8
19.916.2
Auto5.2
Teleop13.5
End1.9
Third
21.91.4
18.920.4
Auto5.2
Teleop15.4
End1.4
red by 13.5
7594
#36
8.43.8
15.411.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.5
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed