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Red93
959942.0
1012040.7
582323.7
Blue29
881012.1
704710.7
801134.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1195301001502009329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+52Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +42
12Coral scored#3
42Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
60Total teleop18
Reef
6L4#1
5L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
19Game pieces#5
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
93Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.9
38.737.8
Auto9.4
Teleop30.8
End1.8
red by 7.7
8011
#24
34.32.0
30.428.4
Auto6.6
Teleop20.5
End7.2
Second
40.70.9
35.334.4
Auto7.3
Teleop29.3
End4.0
red by 28.6
8810
#34
12.13.3
10.47.1
Auto2.3
Teleop8.8
End1.0
Third
23.71.5
29.728.2
Auto4.0
Teleop15.6
End4.2
red by 13.0
7047
#35
10.73.3
15.612.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsMissed