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Red112
635313.5
676633.4
694053.7
Blue32
551521.7
64948.5
630420.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9947015020011232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+76Teleop
+80Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave6
6Coral scored#0
31Coral points0
37Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +45
13Coral scored#4
45Coral points14
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
69Total teleop24
Reef
6L4#1
5L3#1
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#6
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points0
112Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.73.2
41.144.3
Auto15.1
Teleop31.7
End7.0
red by 32.0
5515
#26
21.71.1
24.523.4
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Second
6766
#22
33.41.9
31.833.8
Auto6.0
Teleop26.6
End0.7
red by 13.3
6304
#23
20.01.8
11.910.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.8
End3.5
Third
6353
#32
13.51.9
10.212.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End1.2
red by 5.1
6494
#41
8.51.8
11.69.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed