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Red112
1054143.4
963541.3
1052635.0
Blue127
694150.3
861347.2
1000014.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12096406080140160180112127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+9
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points16
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +30
11Coral scored#14
41Coral points51
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
6Processor points18
12Net points20
18Algae points38
59Total teleop89
Reef
8L4#7
5L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points6
112Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.40.2
45.645.4
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End8.7
blue by 6.9
50.33.0
35.838.8
Auto12.0
Teleop32.8
End5.5
Second
9635
#14
41.30.2
36.836.6
Auto12.1
Teleop28.0
End1.3
blue by 5.9
8613
#11
47.21.8
44.346.1
Auto8.6
Teleop32.2
End6.5
Third
35.00.3
32.332.0
Auto10.2
Teleop21.2
End3.5
red by 20.8
14.23.0
13.916.9
Auto0.8
Teleop9.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned