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Red74
1047927.0
773818.0
1001621.1
Blue39
64333.3
821452.6
64948.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70792040601001207439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +41
9Coral scored#2
31Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
49Total teleop8
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
12Foul points0
74Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.00.3
25.225.0
Auto3.6
Teleop21.8
End1.6
blue by 25.6
8214
#21
52.62.3
50.147.9
Auto15.1
Teleop34.3
End3.3
Second
21.10.3
24.924.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.2
End2.9
red by 12.6
6494
#41
8.53.8
9.86.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End0.2
Third
7738
#25
18.00.3
14.314.1
Auto2.3
Teleop13.6
End2.0
red by 14.7
6433
#43
3.33.8
13.09.2
Auto3.2
Teleop-1.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed