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Red127
1012040.7
700215.2
752250.4
Blue66
630420.0
959942.0
1048613.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9364020408012014016012766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+53Teleop
+55Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +54
22Coral scored#9
80Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
100Total teleop46
Reef
7L4#5
9L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
6Foul points0
127Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.43.1
38.341.5
Auto11.0
Teleop37.7
End1.8
red by 8.4
42.00.4
37.837.4
Auto9.4
Teleop30.8
End1.8
Second
40.71.9
34.436.3
Auto7.3
Teleop29.3
End4.0
red by 20.6
6304
#23
20.00.6
10.19.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.8
End3.5
Third
7002
#37
15.23.1
12.115.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End2.6
red by 1.9
13.30.6
14.814.2
Auto2.9
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed