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Qual 382025 Shanghai Regional
Red54
582323.7
704710.7
1043823.0
Blue47
584919.8
75948.4
694053.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6585020401001201401605447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
+3Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points27
12Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +18
7Coral scored#4
24Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
38Total teleop20
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#10
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
54Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5823
#3
23.71.0
28.2→27.2
Auto4.0
Teleop15.6
End4.2
blue by 30.0
6940
#2
53.73.3
44.3→41.0
Auto15.1
Teleop31.7
End7.0
Second
10438
#27
23.01.0
22.2→21.3
Auto5.5
Teleop16.5
End1.0
red by 3.2
5849
#40
19.83.3
21.7→18.4
Auto5.7
Teleop11.3
End2.8
Third
7047
#35
10.71.0
12.3→11.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End0.5
red by 2.3
7594
#36
8.43.3
10.5→7.2
Auto1.7
Teleop7.5
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed