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Red91
801524.8
741317.0
801134.3
Blue97
648735.0
1055816.4
639420.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83690501001509197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+4
0Endgame0
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
17Coral scored#15
60Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
70Total teleop73
Reef
8L4#6
3L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#20
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points6
91Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8011
#24
34.30.7
28.429.1
Auto6.6
Teleop20.5
End7.2
blue by 0.7
35.02.5
31.033.6
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End1.4
Second
8015
#33
24.80.7
23.724.4
Auto6.2
Teleop17.3
End1.3
red by 4.2
6394
#38
20.62.5
17.419.9
Auto5.2
Teleop13.5
End1.9
Third
7413
#39
17.00.7
19.720.4
Auto4.4
Teleop11.3
End1.3
red by 0.6
16.42.5
12.014.6
Auto3.0
Teleop11.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed