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Red78
670636.4
1054143.4
959733.6
Blue73
1052635.0
551521.7
1000014.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12969501001507873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+3Teleop
Endgame+1
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +10
9Coral scored#9
31Coral points31
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
12Processor points6
20Net points16
32Algae points22
63Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
6Foul points0
78Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.42.9
45.442.5
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End8.7
red by 8.4
35.00.1
32.032.1
Auto10.2
Teleop21.2
End3.5
Second
6706
#10
36.44.9
37.732.9
Auto9.5
Teleop23.8
End3.1
red by 14.7
5515
#26
21.70.0
23.423.5
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Third
9597
#17
33.64.9
32.627.8
Auto6.8
Teleop26.1
End0.7
red by 19.5
14.20.1
16.917.0
Auto0.8
Teleop9.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsMissed