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Red126
861347.2
1047927.0
641424.2
Blue91
676633.4
773818.0
690729.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1047920406012014016018012691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+21Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
20Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +14
19Coral scored#16
68Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
92Total teleop78
Reef
7L4#5
8L3#6
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#22
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
126Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8613
#11
47.22.3
46.148.4
Auto8.6
Teleop32.2
End6.5
red by 13.9
6766
#22
33.41.1
33.834.9
Auto6.0
Teleop26.6
End0.7
Second
27.03.8
25.028.7
Auto3.6
Teleop21.8
End1.6
blue by 2.1
6907
#20
29.11.9
26.128.0
Auto5.9
Teleop21.9
End1.3
Third
6414
#12
24.23.8
20.924.7
Auto4.1
Teleop17.7
End2.5
red by 6.2
7738
#25
18.01.9
14.116.0
Auto2.3
Teleop13.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed