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Red109
959942.0
752250.4
64948.5
Blue100
639420.6
801134.3
584919.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9872050150109100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+25Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +18
16Coral scored#10
59Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
77Total teleop59
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
2Foul points2
109Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.42.1
41.543.6
Auto11.0
Teleop37.7
End1.8
red by 16.1
8011
#24
34.31.9
29.130.9
Auto6.6
Teleop20.5
End7.2
Second
42.01.3
37.438.7
Auto9.4
Teleop30.8
End1.8
red by 21.4
6394
#38
20.63.1
19.923.0
Auto5.2
Teleop13.5
End1.9
Third
6494
#41
8.52.1
6.18.2
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End0.2
blue by 11.3
5849
#40
19.83.1
18.421.6
Auto5.7
Teleop11.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned