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Red80
551521.7
1043823.0
1012040.7
Blue76
1052635.0
959733.6
801524.8
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818802003004005008076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points23
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +12
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
53Total teleop41
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
2Foul points6
80Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.2
36.336.1
Auto7.3
Teleop29.3
End4.0
red by 5.7
35.01.6
32.130.5
Auto10.2
Teleop21.2
End3.5
Second
23.00.3
21.320.9
Auto5.5
Teleop16.5
End1.0
blue by 10.6
9597
#17
33.61.6
27.826.2
Auto6.8
Teleop26.1
End0.7
Third
5515
#26
21.70.2
23.523.3
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End1.9
blue by 3.1
8015
#33
24.81.0
24.423.4
Auto6.2
Teleop17.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed