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Red25
700215.2
1013118.4
881012.1
Blue101
1047927.0
1021421.9
676633.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46104015025101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+44
Endgame+38
Fouls+76
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +44
2Coral scored#12
6Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
10Total teleop54
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#14
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +76
0Foul points38
25Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.41.5
20.018.5
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End1.3
blue by 14.9
6766
#22
33.41.7
34.933.2
Auto6.0
Teleop26.6
End0.7
Second
7002
#37
15.22.6
15.312.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End2.6
blue by 11.8
27.02.8
28.726.0
Auto3.6
Teleop21.8
End1.6
Third
8810
#34
12.12.6
9.77.2
Auto2.3
Teleop8.8
End1.0
blue by 9.8
21.92.8
24.221.4
Auto5.2
Teleop15.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed