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Red97
821452.6
1001621.1
641424.2
Blue144
461358.5
861347.2
1054143.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8915505010020097144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+1
Endgame+31
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points22
19Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +5
15Coral scored#15
54Coral points55
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
70Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#6
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
2Foul points18
97Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8214
#21
52.60.1
49.449.5
Auto15.1
Teleop34.3
End3.3
blue by 5.8
58.51.2
52.651.5
Auto13.8
Teleop33.4
End11.3
Second
6414
#12
24.20.1
24.724.8
Auto4.1
Teleop17.7
End2.5
blue by 23.0
8613
#11
47.21.2
48.447.2
Auto8.6
Teleop32.2
End6.5
Third
21.10.1
19.920.0
Auto4.0
Teleop14.2
End2.9
blue by 22.3
43.41.2
42.541.3
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned