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Red137
75948.4
544950.3
959942.0
Blue53
773818.0
639420.6
551521.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions936420408012014016018013753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+92Teleop
+88Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +71
16Coral scored#7
57Coral points24
3Processor algae#0
7Net algae#2
18Processor points0
28Net points8
46Algae points8
103Total teleop32
Reef
8L4#3
7L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +84
2Foul points6
137Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.34.6
39.043.6
Auto13.3
Teleop28.8
End8.1
red by 28.5
5515
#26
21.71.5
23.321.7
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Second
42.02.9
38.741.6
Auto9.4
Teleop30.8
End1.8
red by 21.4
6394
#38
20.62.4
23.020.6
Auto5.2
Teleop13.5
End1.9
Third
7594
#36
8.44.6
4.38.8
Auto1.7
Teleop7.5
End-0.8
blue by 9.6
7738
#25
18.02.6
16.013.4
Auto2.3
Teleop13.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed