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Red103
630420.0
801524.8
694150.3
Blue93
64948.5
551650.9
584919.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83825060709010011012010393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+16Teleop
+16Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points24
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +23
14Coral scored#10
50Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
72Total teleop49
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
4Foul points10
103Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.32.1
41.543.6
Auto12.0
Teleop32.8
End5.5
blue by 0.6
5516
#16
50.90.2
50.350.5
Auto18.6
Teleop32.0
End0.3
Second
8015
#33
24.81.4
23.424.8
Auto6.2
Teleop17.3
End1.3
red by 5.1
5849
#40
19.80.3
21.621.9
Auto5.7
Teleop11.3
End2.8
Third
6304
#23
20.02.1
13.515.6
Auto5.8
Teleop10.8
End3.5
red by 11.6
6494
#41
8.50.3
8.28.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed