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Red98
1013118.4
1047927.0
752250.4
Blue64
704710.7
1052635.0
741317.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104650501509864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+40Teleop
+40Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +33
12Coral scored#9
43Coral points34
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
71Total teleop38
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points6
98Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.41.0
43.644.6
Auto11.0
Teleop37.7
End1.8
red by 15.5
35.00.2
30.530.3
Auto10.2
Teleop21.2
End3.5
Second
27.01.0
26.027.0
Auto3.6
Teleop21.8
End1.6
red by 10.0
7413
#39
17.00.1
18.618.5
Auto4.4
Teleop11.3
End1.3
Third
18.40.7
18.519.1
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End1.3
red by 7.7
7047
#35
10.70.2
10.910.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed