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Red141
1054143.4
694053.7
773818.0
Blue93
1012040.7
1021421.9
670636.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105895015020014193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+38Teleop
+50Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points16
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +24
15Coral scored#13
53Coral points47
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
85Total teleop61
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#5
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points2
141Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.74.3
45.049.3
Auto15.1
Teleop31.7
End7.0
red by 13.1
40.70.0
36.136.1
Auto7.3
Teleop29.3
End4.0
Second
43.42.7
41.344.1
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End8.7
red by 6.9
6706
#10
36.40.0
33.933.9
Auto9.5
Teleop23.8
End3.1
Third
7738
#25
18.04.6
13.418.0
Auto2.3
Teleop13.6
End2.0
blue by 4.0
21.90.0
21.421.4
Auto5.2
Teleop15.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsEarned