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Red87
821452.6
1000014.2
1055816.4
Blue92
690729.1
641424.2
582323.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888340601001208792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+1Teleop
+9Endgame
Fouls+5
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
11Coral scored#13
40Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
58Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
6Foul points20
87Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8214
#21
52.60.1
49.549.6
Auto15.1
Teleop34.3
End3.3
red by 23.5
6907
#20
29.10.6
29.128.5
Auto5.9
Teleop21.9
End1.3
Second
16.40.1
16.316.4
Auto3.0
Teleop11.7
End1.7
blue by 7.8
6414
#12
24.20.6
24.824.2
Auto4.1
Teleop17.7
End2.5
Third
14.20.1
14.014.2
Auto0.8
Teleop9.8
End3.5
blue by 9.6
23.70.6
23.723.1
Auto4.0
Teleop15.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned