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Red164
963541.3
648735.0
1052635.0
Blue121
1043823.0
801134.3
670636.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11095406080120140160180164121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+47Teleop
+39Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
8Coral scored#6
38Coral points31
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +40
20Coral scored#14
72Coral points50
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#4
12Processor points6
28Net points16
40Algae points22
112Total teleop72
Reef
10L4#9
9L3#7
7L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
37Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +43
4Foul points0
164Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9635
#14
41.31.3
38.539.9
Auto12.1
Teleop28.0
End1.3
red by 4.9
6706
#10
36.41.0
35.536.4
Auto9.5
Teleop23.8
End3.1
Second
35.01.9
31.133.0
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End1.4
red by 0.7
8011
#24
34.30.7
33.734.3
Auto6.6
Teleop20.5
End7.2
Third
35.01.8
31.333.0
Auto10.2
Teleop21.2
End3.5
red by 11.9
23.01.0
22.023.0
Auto5.5
Teleop16.5
End1.0