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Red167
752250.4
461358.5
959733.6
Blue94
582323.7
1021421.9
551650.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142975020016794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+75Teleop
+79Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
5Coral scored#5
25Coral points24
34Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +71
27Coral scored#7
97Coral points26
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
117Total teleop46
Reef
12L4#4
10L3#4
4L2#2
6L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +73
0Foul points6
167Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.50.9
54.855.7
Auto13.8
Teleop33.4
End11.3
red by 7.6
5516
#16
50.90.2
51.150.9
Auto18.6
Teleop32.0
End0.3
Second
50.41.3
45.246.4
Auto11.0
Teleop37.7
End1.8
red by 26.7
23.70.3
24.023.7
Auto4.0
Teleop15.6
End4.2
Third
9597
#17
33.61.4
27.929.3
Auto6.8
Teleop26.1
End0.7
red by 11.7
21.90.3
22.221.9
Auto5.2
Teleop15.4
End1.4