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Red153
694053.7
630420.0
821452.6
Blue106
963541.3
648735.0
1052635.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261056080140160180200153106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+41Teleop
+51Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points31
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +34
20Coral scored#12
71Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
91Total teleop57
Reef
9L4#5
9L3#6
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +47
2Foul points6
153Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.71.0
50.851.9
Auto15.1
Teleop31.7
End7.0
red by 12.4
9635
#14
41.30.0
38.638.5
Auto12.1
Teleop28.0
End1.3
Second
8214
#21
52.60.7
50.651.3
Auto15.1
Teleop34.3
End3.3
red by 17.6
35.00.0
31.131.1
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End1.4
Third
6304
#23
20.01.0
17.118.2
Auto5.8
Teleop10.8
End3.5
blue by 14.9
35.00.0
31.331.3
Auto10.2
Teleop21.2
End3.5