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Red95
1054143.4
861347.2
1013118.4
Blue142
752250.4
461358.5
959733.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141375010015020095142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+39
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points14
22Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +41
15Coral scored#23
53Coral points82
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
67Total teleop108
Reef
6L4#12
6L3#6
2L2#6
4L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
95Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8613
#11
47.20.4
47.947.6
Auto8.6
Teleop32.2
End6.5
blue by 11.2
58.50.3
54.454.8
Auto13.8
Teleop33.4
End11.3
Second
43.40.4
44.143.7
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End8.7
blue by 7.1
50.40.5
44.645.1
Auto11.0
Teleop37.7
End1.8
Third
18.40.4
19.118.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End1.3
blue by 15.2
9597
#17
33.60.5
27.427.9
Auto6.8
Teleop26.1
End0.7