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Red164
694053.7
630420.0
821452.6
Blue120
690729.1
676633.4
959942.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261116080100140160180200164120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+30Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points24
30Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +24
23Coral scored#18
84Coral points66
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#3
12Processor points18
24Net points12
36Algae points30
120Total teleop96
Reef
12L4#9
5L3#6
5L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#29
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
164Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.71.5
49.350.8
Auto15.1
Teleop31.7
End7.0
red by 11.7
42.00.3
41.641.9
Auto9.4
Teleop30.8
End1.8
Second
8214
#21
52.61.0
49.650.6
Auto15.1
Teleop34.3
End3.3
red by 19.3
6766
#22
33.40.3
33.033.3
Auto6.0
Teleop26.6
End0.7
Third
6304
#23
20.01.5
15.617.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.8
End3.5
blue by 9.1
6907
#20
29.10.4
28.529.0
Auto5.9
Teleop21.9
End1.3