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Red114
690729.1
676633.4
959942.0
Blue131
582323.7
1021421.9
551650.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161026080140160180114131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+15
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave6
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points30
23Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +2
16Coral scored#15
57Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
12Processor points12
20Net points24
32Algae points36
89Total teleop91
Reef
6L4#9
8L3#4
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
114Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.1
41.942.0
Auto9.4
Teleop30.8
End1.8
blue by 8.9
5516
#16
50.90.8
50.351.1
Auto18.6
Teleop32.0
End0.3
Second
6766
#22
33.40.1
33.333.4
Auto6.0
Teleop26.6
End0.7
red by 9.6
23.71.3
22.824.0
Auto4.0
Teleop15.6
End4.2
Third
6907
#20
29.10.1
29.029.1
Auto5.9
Teleop21.9
End1.3
red by 7.2
21.91.2
21.122.2
Auto5.2
Teleop15.4
End1.4