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Red199
449971.9
161965.1
450122.1
Blue135
133954.8
1033326.2
670650.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174135100150200250199135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+28Teleop
+52Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
9Coral scored#7
45Coral points34
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +14
26Coral scored#19
92Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
110Total teleop96
Reef
11L4#9
9L3#7
10L2#5
5L1 · trough#5
39Game pieces#32
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +64
12Foul points0
199Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.90.5
71.471.9
Auto19.7
Teleop43.4
End8.8
red by 17.2
1339
#11
54.80.1
54.854.8
Auto10.8
Teleop41.6
End2.4
Second
65.10.5
64.565.1
Auto16.5
Teleop40.3
End8.2
red by 14.9
50.20.1
50.250.2
Auto17.2
Teleop30.8
End2.2
Third
4501
#45
22.10.8
21.422.1
Auto6.8
Teleop14.5
End0.8
blue by 4.1
26.20.1
26.326.2
Auto2.9
Teleop23.0
End0.3