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Red211
449971.9
161965.1
450122.1
Blue161
133954.8
1033326.2
670650.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169134100150200250211161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+36Teleop
+60Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
9Coral scored#6
45Coral points31
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +22
22Coral scored#24
80Coral points86
5Processor algae#1
6Net algae#5
30Processor points6
24Net points20
54Algae points26
134Total teleop112
Reef
13L4#10
11L3#10
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#36
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points10
211Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.91.3
70.171.4
Auto19.7
Teleop43.4
End8.8
red by 17.2
1339
#11
54.80.6
54.254.8
Auto10.8
Teleop41.6
End2.4
Second
65.11.3
63.264.5
Auto16.5
Teleop40.3
End8.2
red by 14.9
50.20.5
49.850.2
Auto17.2
Teleop30.8
End2.2
Third
4501
#45
22.11.9
19.521.4
Auto6.8
Teleop14.5
End0.8
blue by 4.1
26.20.5
25.826.3
Auto2.9
Teleop23.0
End0.3