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Red176
133954.8
1033326.2
670650.2
Blue113
203646.0
328443.0
222044.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134150100120140160180200176113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+63Teleop
+61Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points23
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +52
30Coral scored#16
107Coral points59
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
135Total teleop83
Reef
10L4#8
15L3#7
8L2#2
4L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +63
2Foul points0
176Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1339
#11
54.81.3
52.954.2
Auto10.8
Teleop41.6
End2.4
red by 8.7
2036
#15
46.00.6
46.646.0
Auto10.6
Teleop28.2
End7.3
Second
50.21.0
48.849.8
Auto17.2
Teleop30.8
End2.2
red by 5.5
2220
#18
44.70.6
45.344.7
Auto10.0
Teleop33.8
End0.9
Third
26.21.0
24.825.8
Auto2.9
Teleop23.0
End0.3
blue by 16.8
43.00.6
43.643.0
Auto7.8
Teleop33.2
End2.0