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Red141
406853.3
299659.3
141031.5
Blue152
203646.0
328443.0
222044.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15414505001,0001,5002,0002,500141152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+3
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave6
10Coral scored#4
48Coral points20
51Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +30
13Coral scored#19
46Coral points68
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
12Processor points12
16Net points24
28Algae points36
74Total teleop104
Reef
13L4#7
4L3#7
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points8
141Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.30.1
59.459.3
Auto14.7
Teleop37.3
End7.3
red by 13.3
2036
#15
46.00.1
46.546.6
Auto10.6
Teleop28.2
End7.3
Second
4068
#10
53.30.2
53.553.3
Auto15.4
Teleop35.3
End2.7
red by 8.6
2220
#18
44.70.1
45.145.3
Auto10.0
Teleop33.8
End0.9
Third
1410
#23
31.50.1
31.631.5
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End2.9
blue by 11.5
43.00.1
43.543.6
Auto7.8
Teleop33.2
End2.0