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Red119
105621.7
741526.4
438842.3
Blue121
453633.4
294530.3
670650.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7696050150200119121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+14
Endgame+4
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave6
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points21
26Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +13
18Coral scored#16
65Coral points56
0Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
0Processor points18
12Net points16
12Algae points34
77Total teleop90
Reef
6L4#8
6L3#6
7L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
2Foul points0
119Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#26
42.33.1
39.642.7
Auto10.9
Teleop29.2
End2.1
blue by 7.9
50.23.4
37.340.7
Auto17.2
Teleop30.8
End2.2
Second
7415
#36
26.43.4
19.923.3
Auto3.9
Teleop19.9
End2.6
blue by 7.1
4536
#31
33.44.2
22.426.6
Auto5.4
Teleop25.8
End2.2
Third
1056
#32
21.73.1
11.114.2
Auto4.1
Teleop13.0
End4.6
blue by 8.6
2945
#21
30.32.5
23.225.8
Auto5.0
Teleop23.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed