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Red73
747919.5
1068626.5
462436.5
Blue82
141031.5
328443.0
858421.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions688402040601001201401607382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+9
Endgame+11
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +1
11Coral scored#11
40Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
58Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
2Foul points0
73Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4624
#19
36.50.5
23.924.4
Auto9.8
Teleop25.6
End1.2
blue by 6.5
43.00.2
30.730.9
Auto7.8
Teleop33.2
End2.0
Second
26.50.5
17.618.1
Auto3.9
Teleop21.0
End1.5
blue by 5.0
1410
#23
31.50.3
22.322.5
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End2.9
Third
7479
#46
19.50.5
15.716.3
Auto2.9
Teleop14.4
End2.2
blue by 1.7
8584
#29
21.30.2
17.918.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed