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Red253
161965.1
651054.7
364828.1
Blue79
133954.8
226120.0
225919.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13655010015020025025379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+62Teleop
+62Endgame
+174Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
3Leave6
8Coral scored#1
41Coral points7
44Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +31
20Coral scored#12
71Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
91Total teleop60
Reef
11L4#4
9L3#3
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +174
112Foul points0
253Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.11.3
57.658.9
Auto16.5
Teleop40.3
End8.2
red by 10.3
1339
#11
54.81.7
30.532.1
Auto10.8
Teleop41.6
End2.4
Second
54.71.1
43.044.1
Auto13.3
Teleop34.4
End7.0
red by 34.7
2261
#42
20.01.7
12.414.1
Auto3.7
Teleop16.9
End-0.6
Third
28.11.2
18.019.2
Auto8.2
Teleop14.4
End5.5
red by 8.8
2259
#44
19.21.7
15.917.5
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed