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Red141
441826.0
406853.3
906835.9
Blue79
66223.0
942742.2
1033326.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728405010015020025030014179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+30Teleop
+38Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
3Leave3
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
30Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +3
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
73Total teleop70
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#3
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#18
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
24Foul points0
141Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4068
#10
53.35.5
28.534.0
Auto15.4
Teleop35.3
End2.7
red by 11.1
9427
#13
42.20.2
40.640.8
Auto13.1
Teleop28.3
End0.8
Second
35.95.5
20.826.2
Auto5.6
Teleop28.6
End1.7
red by 9.7
26.20.2
15.816.0
Auto2.9
Teleop23.0
End0.3
Third
4418
#12
26.04.4
18.622.9
Auto4.1
Teleop16.3
End5.5
red by 2.9
662
#48
23.00.3
19.920.2
Auto2.5
Teleop16.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed