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Red35
179916.6
130318.3
958523.7
Blue100
958627.7
364828.1
634839.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72892040608010012014035100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+55
Endgame+65
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +48
5Coral scored#11
19Coral points41
0Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
0Processor points18
4Net points12
4Algae points30
23Total teleop71
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points0
35Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9585
#49
23.73.0
27.024.0
Auto3.7
Teleop16.7
End3.3
blue by 15.8
6348
#35
39.51.8
34.436.1
Auto5.8
Teleop32.2
End1.5
Second
1303
#25
18.33.0
16.713.7
Auto2.8
Teleop13.5
End2.0
blue by 9.8
28.11.8
19.221.0
Auto8.2
Teleop14.4
End5.5
Third
1799
#50
16.63.0
18.215.2
Auto2.5
Teleop13.0
End1.1
blue by 11.1
9586
#17
27.73.0
19.722.6
Auto2.5
Teleop23.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned