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Red137
942742.2
748526.6
406853.3
Blue62
197713.8
459340.3
208333.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1059140608012014016018013762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+65Teleop
+63Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points10
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +44
18Coral scored#7
64Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
84Total teleop40
Reef
8L4#3
7L3#3
7L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
12Foul points0
137Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4068
#10
53.32.8
34.036.8
Auto15.4
Teleop35.3
End2.7
red by 13.0
4593
#16
40.32.4
39.737.3
Auto11.7
Teleop23.1
End5.6
Second
9427
#13
42.21.7
40.842.5
Auto13.1
Teleop28.3
End0.8
red by 9.1
2083
#33
33.13.3
27.424.1
Auto5.6
Teleop26.1
End1.5
Third
7485
#28
26.62.8
19.121.9
Auto4.8
Teleop19.7
End2.2
red by 12.8
1977
#37
13.83.3
19.316.1
Auto5.3
Teleop6.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed