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Red117
441826.0
224049.7
1068626.5
Blue77
450122.1
203646.0
226120.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10185406012014011777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+30Teleop
+34Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points11
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +34
18Coral scored#10
63Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
91Total teleop57
Reef
8L4#3
6L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#17
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
6Foul points0
117Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2240
#22
49.70.4
46.546.9
Auto11.2
Teleop38.5
End0.1
red by 3.7
2036
#15
46.00.9
38.737.8
Auto10.6
Teleop28.2
End7.3
Second
26.50.6
18.118.7
Auto3.9
Teleop21.0
End1.5
red by 4.4
4501
#45
22.11.5
22.320.8
Auto6.8
Teleop14.5
End0.8
Third
4418
#12
26.00.4
22.923.4
Auto4.1
Teleop16.3
End5.5
red by 6.0
2261
#42
20.01.5
14.112.6
Auto3.7
Teleop16.9
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsMissed