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Red126
651054.7
858421.3
222044.7
Blue91
906835.9
670650.2
741526.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10610005015020025030012691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+21Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave9
6Coral scored#4
31Coral points21
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +11
14Coral scored#14
50Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
72Total teleop61
Reef
10L4#7
4L3#5
2L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#20
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
126Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.71.7
44.145.8
Auto13.3
Teleop34.4
End7.0
red by 4.5
50.20.3
40.740.4
Auto17.2
Teleop30.8
End2.2
Second
2220
#18
44.71.7
38.840.4
Auto10.0
Teleop33.8
End0.9
red by 8.8
35.90.4
30.630.2
Auto5.6
Teleop28.6
End1.7
Third
8584
#29
21.31.7
18.119.8
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End2.5
blue by 5.1
7415
#36
26.40.2
23.323.1
Auto3.9
Teleop19.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed