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Red57
455029.8
294530.3
225919.2
Blue120
462436.5
690747.2
1033326.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8580020406010012014016057120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+55
Endgame+57
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +31
7Coral scored#13
25Coral points48
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
6Processor points18
20Net points16
26Algae points34
51Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#6
1L3#6
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points6
57Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2945
#21
30.31.2
25.824.6
Auto5.0
Teleop23.6
End1.7
blue by 16.9
47.23.2
34.838.0
Auto13.1
Teleop32.7
End1.5
Second
4550
#24
29.81.2
31.930.7
Auto4.5
Teleop24.0
End1.4
blue by 6.7
4624
#19
36.54.4
24.428.8
Auto9.8
Teleop25.6
End1.2
Third
2259
#44
19.22.0
17.515.5
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End1.4
blue by 7.0
26.22.6
15.217.9
Auto2.9
Teleop23.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed