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Red77
453633.4
179916.6
66223.0
Blue115
133954.8
833433.3
141031.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions698902040608010012014077115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+48
Endgame+44
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave0
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points19
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +35
11Coral scored#21
41Coral points76
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
59Total teleop94
Reef
3L4#11
3L3#6
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#29
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
6Foul points0
77Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
#31
33.40.8
26.627.4
Auto5.4
Teleop25.8
End2.2
blue by 21.3
1339
#11
54.84.2
33.337.5
Auto10.8
Teleop41.6
End2.4
Second
662
#48
23.00.8
21.622.4
Auto2.5
Teleop16.6
End4.0
blue by 10.3
8334
#20
33.34.2
21.125.3
Auto4.5
Teleop26.9
End1.9
Third
1799
#50
16.60.8
15.216.0
Auto2.5
Teleop13.0
End1.1
blue by 14.9
1410
#23
31.52.8
22.525.4
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed