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Red98
958523.7
747919.5
299659.3
Blue177
161965.1
955219.5
942742.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951395015020098177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+34
Teleop+65
Endgame+67
Fouls+79
AutonomousBlue +34
6Leave9
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points31
6Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +31
17Coral scored#20
60Coral points73
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#3
6Processor points24
12Net points12
18Algae points36
78Total teleop109
Reef
7L4#12
3L3#8
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +79
0Foul points12
98Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.30.6
50.149.5
Auto14.7
Teleop37.3
End7.3
blue by 5.8
65.11.9
58.960.8
Auto16.5
Teleop40.3
End8.2
Second
9585
#49
23.71.0
24.023.0
Auto3.7
Teleop16.7
End3.3
blue by 18.5
9427
#13
42.21.7
42.544.1
Auto13.1
Teleop28.3
End0.8
Third
7479
#46
19.51.0
16.315.3
Auto2.9
Teleop14.4
End2.2
Level
9552
#41
19.52.8
21.123.9
Auto3.9
Teleop13.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned