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Red140
364828.1
328443.0
203646.0
Blue77
748526.6
320022.4
549319.3
95%Model gave it5%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10863020408010012014016014077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+53Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave9
7Coral scored#0
33Coral points0
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
15Coral scored#11
53Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
12Processor points12
28Net points12
40Algae points24
93Total teleop64
Reef
10L4#4
7L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
140Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2036
#15
46.02.4
37.840.2
Auto10.6
Teleop28.2
End7.3
red by 19.4
7485
#28
26.60.4
21.922.3
Auto4.8
Teleop19.7
End2.2
Second
43.02.4
30.933.3
Auto7.8
Teleop33.2
End2.0
red by 20.7
3200
#39
22.40.3
17.417.7
Auto3.1
Teleop19.2
End0.1
Third
28.12.4
21.023.4
Auto8.2
Teleop14.4
End5.5
red by 8.7
5493
#40
19.30.4
19.920.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed