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Red100
15929.3
208333.1
224049.7
Blue143
105621.7
449971.9
958627.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021106080120140160100143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+43
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave6
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points31
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +22
15Coral scored#18
54Coral points66
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
12Processor points6
4Net points20
16Algae points26
70Total teleop92
Reef
5L4#6
6L3#5
2L2#8
3L1 · trough#5
19Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
100Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2240
#22
49.70.2
46.946.7
Auto11.2
Teleop38.5
End0.1
blue by 22.2
71.92.3
60.763.0
Auto19.7
Teleop43.4
End8.8
Second
2083
#33
33.10.3
24.123.8
Auto5.6
Teleop26.1
End1.5
red by 5.4
9586
#17
27.73.8
22.626.4
Auto2.5
Teleop23.2
End2.0
Third
159
#34
29.30.3
20.620.3
Auto3.1
Teleop18.6
End7.5
red by 7.6
1056
#32
21.72.3
14.216.5
Auto4.1
Teleop13.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned