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Red56
906835.9
747919.5
66223.0
Blue85
455029.8
1068626.5
453633.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions819340601001205685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+29
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
3Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +16
12Coral scored#14
43Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
53Total teleop69
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
56Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.92.2
30.228.0
Auto5.6
Teleop28.6
End1.7
red by 2.5
4536
#31
33.40.1
27.427.3
Auto5.4
Teleop25.8
End2.2
Second
662
#48
23.02.2
22.420.2
Auto2.5
Teleop16.6
End4.0
blue by 6.8
4550
#24
29.80.1
30.730.7
Auto4.5
Teleop24.0
End1.4
Third
7479
#46
19.52.2
15.313.1
Auto2.9
Teleop14.4
End2.2
blue by 7.0
26.50.1
18.718.6
Auto3.9
Teleop21.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed