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Red133
299659.3
197713.8
328443.0
Blue83
858421.3
741526.4
15929.3
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114635010015013383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+50Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave9
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
16Coral scored#9
58Coral points32
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
86Total teleop60
Reef
7L4#3
7L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
133Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.31.8
49.551.3
Auto14.7
Teleop37.3
End7.3
red by 30.0
159
#34
29.30.5
20.320.8
Auto3.1
Teleop18.6
End7.5
Second
43.01.8
33.335.1
Auto7.8
Teleop33.2
End2.0
red by 16.7
7415
#36
26.40.3
23.123.4
Auto3.9
Teleop19.9
End2.6
Third
1977
#37
13.82.9
11.814.8
Auto5.3
Teleop6.7
End1.9
blue by 7.5
8584
#29
21.30.3
19.820.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned