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Red75
549319.3
222044.7
364828.1
Blue123
690747.2
441826.0
438842.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87115406010014016018075123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+34
Endgame+46
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points30
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +27
8Coral scored#14
28Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
48Total teleop75
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#8
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points2
75Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#18
44.70.6
40.439.8
Auto10.0
Teleop33.8
End0.9
blue by 2.5
47.21.3
38.039.3
Auto13.1
Teleop32.7
End1.5
Second
28.10.6
23.422.8
Auto8.2
Teleop14.4
End5.5
blue by 14.2
4388
#26
42.31.2
40.141.3
Auto10.9
Teleop29.2
End2.1
Third
5493
#40
19.31.0
20.419.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.5
End1.1
blue by 6.6
4418
#12
26.01.2
25.526.7
Auto4.1
Teleop16.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned