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Red89
459340.3
380716.1
955219.5
Blue175
670650.2
133954.8
651054.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811405010015020089175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+84
Endgame+86
Fouls+86
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave6
3Coral scored#9
14Coral points45
23Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +56
12Coral scored#21
42Coral points76
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
52Total teleop108
Reef
5L4#11
6L3#9
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
17Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +86
0Foul points0
89Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4593
#16
40.30.1
39.439.6
Auto11.7
Teleop23.1
End5.6
blue by 14.5
1339
#11
54.84.4
37.542.0
Auto10.8
Teleop41.6
End2.4
Second
9552
#41
19.50.2
23.924.2
Auto3.9
Teleop13.7
End2.0
blue by 35.2
54.72.7
45.848.5
Auto13.3
Teleop34.4
End7.0
Third
3807
#30
16.10.2
14.614.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 34.1
50.23.0
40.443.4
Auto17.2
Teleop30.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned