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Red132
449971.9
748526.6
1033326.2
Blue77
833433.3
130318.3
226120.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12547010015020013277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+45Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +38
19Coral scored#11
69Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
6Processor points6
24Net points16
30Algae points22
99Total teleop61
Reef
10L4#3
7L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
132Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.91.6
63.064.6
Auto19.7
Teleop43.4
End8.8
red by 38.6
8334
#20
33.32.3
25.327.6
Auto4.5
Teleop26.9
End1.9
Second
7485
#28
26.62.6
22.324.9
Auto4.8
Teleop19.7
End2.2
red by 6.6
2261
#42
20.02.3
12.614.9
Auto3.7
Teleop16.9
End-0.6
Third
26.21.6
17.919.4
Auto2.9
Teleop23.0
End0.3
red by 8.0
1303
#25
18.32.3
12.314.6
Auto2.8
Teleop13.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed